tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8446351548038522890.post2669721322934196004..comments2024-03-08T13:21:43.158-05:00Comments on Saideman's Semi-Spew: Conditionality Works?!Steve Saidemanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09881915512311951902noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8446351548038522890.post-25471123109896662542011-05-27T06:35:11.564-04:002011-05-27T06:35:11.564-04:00Nice blog :).
I wouldn't give much credit to &...Nice blog :).<br />I wouldn't give much credit to "conditionality" because as you note "pressure has been applied since 1995". Perhaps conditionality worked if viewed in terms of economic crisis which hit Serbia hard, and now government needs money from the EU. However, I think that domestic reasons may offer a better explanation. Recall that in 2008 when Karadzic was arrested the biggest Serbian opposition party, Serbian Radical Party had a solid support from population (around 40%). They could and they did exploit this position by organizing massive demonstrations when Karadzic was caught. Back then, stakes were much bigger for the government because today this party is just a poor reflection of a mighty organization it used to be. Since 2008 there was a coup d'etat within the Radical Party from which a new party emerged who wanted a more "European face". This party has a stable support of 30% and promotes a "European ideology" to erase its former biography of die-hard nationalists. The remaining radicals, who were the only to condemn Mladic's arrest are around 10% these days.Milos Popovichttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08731936263803959650noreply@blogger.com