tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8446351548038522890.post8900456406725281215..comments2024-03-28T16:15:19.319-04:00Comments on Saideman's Semi-Spew: Hegemonic Abdication TheorySteve Saidemanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09881915512311951902noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8446351548038522890.post-55982478328601417062017-12-10T21:44:37.519-05:002017-12-10T21:44:37.519-05:00Long Cycles. Long Cycles. Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02146071051005124201noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8446351548038522890.post-427232191445955442017-12-10T18:06:45.053-05:002017-12-10T18:06:45.053-05:00I find it to be internal. US internal politics and...I find it to be internal. US internal politics and political culture bring this on. Just finishing American Amnesia, which chronicles how the US truned away from what worked so well (mixed economy) to something that doesn't work for any one involved.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8446351548038522890.post-58618792809605552762017-12-10T14:58:25.493-05:002017-12-10T14:58:25.493-05:002 sounds like relative deprivation theory.
and no...2 sounds like relative deprivation theory.<br /><br />and no, I don't think global retrenchment makes sense. I do think a return to embedded liberalism does--that the pain of globalization should have been offset by government policies, but rise of the right meant reducing rather than improving safety nets. Austerity did that big time and it was the wrong thing to do.Steve Saidemanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09881915512311951902noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8446351548038522890.post-30911093244076432882017-12-10T12:05:28.440-05:002017-12-10T12:05:28.440-05:00I've been playing with this idea as well. See...I've been playing with this idea as well. Seems like a couple of different things going on that can explain the pull back of a hegemon. <br /><br />1) There is a two level game dynamic. Even before Trump it was unclear that TPP was going to survive the 2016 election. <br /><br />2) I also wonder if we should be thinking about prospect theory scaled to the society as a whole. Lots of people have acclimated to the benefits of hegemony and no longer seem satisfied by things that made them ecstatic two-decades ago.<br /><br />3) There is a case for a global retrenchment as China rises. Perhaps the US political system is responding rationally to a changing international system but individual level factors are messing everything up. A historical parallel (please forgive me the obligatory WWII reference) might be a resurgent Germany after WWI. The return of Germany was predictable but the individual level craziness of Hitler made that resurgence way worse, both internally and externally, than it had to be.Brian Urlacherhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08043322095269653699noreply@blogger.com