Heaps of discussion about Scotland and what happens if the Yea votes > Nay votes. As I have argued, it will not change much for most of the rest of the world, but it will change much in the UK. How so?
The balance of voters will change. The Conservatives will find it easier to win elections without all of those anti-Tory votes. That is, until people get tired of the party that helped to break up the UK. And then the groups of folks who vote Conservative might break up a bit. But in the short term, a huge win for the Conservatives.
It will change who governs in Scotland. This might be swell for the Scottish National Party, which can claim a big win with the referendum. It is not so swell for other groups in Scotland that are not fans of the SNP. The irony is if the SNP says: we want out of UK because the Tories tend to win elections in the UK, the Shetland Islands and other spots can say: we want out of Scotland because SNP wins elections.
The new equilibrium will be better for some folks and worse for others. There would be winners and losers, in other words, on both sides of the new boundary. That causes me some concern as does what the new boundary means for the Hogwarts Express.
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