"Vice-Admiral Bruce Donaldson, the low-profile VCDS.Other than retired Lt Gen Andrew Leslie, who conducted the transformation study that recommended cutting a bunch of headquarters, no other army officers are mentioned. This makes sense for two reasons:
Vice-Admiral Paul Maddison, the RCN’s commander.
Lt.-Gen. André Deschamps, the RCAF commander admired in the Harper government for faithfully defending the F-35 purchase.
Air Force officers also tell Defence Watch that Lt.-Gen. Tom Lawson at NORAD is a person to watch."
- Canada has had two Army officers as CDS in a row when there is usually (but not always) a rotation among the services. But we have had air force-army-army. So, it is the Navy's turn. But Prime Minister's have not been bound by this.
- Canada is turning from land-based priorities--Afghanistan--to air and sea-based priorities--the Arctic. So, it makes sense that the CDS for the next term should be from a part of the CF that is more focused on the Arctic and that would be the Navy or Air Force.
Last time around, I had my favorites--that I had interviewed all three Army contenders but none of the Navy or Air Force ones, and that I had repeated interactions with one of the Army candidates. So, I ended up getting half of what I wanted--an Army guy but not the one I knew well. This time, I have one favorite as I have met only one of these candidates (Bouchard). I also think, like last time, it would not hurt reaching out to Quebec to pick a Quebecker.
To be clear, this is Harper's decision, and, when it comes to major military matters, he consults only himself. The rest of us can only guess and wait.