- the US seems awfully confident that they knew where the line is between what North Korea will perceive as an exercise and what NK will perceive as the start of an attack
- Escalation Ladders are finite.
The second problem is that the flights are part of an escalation--the US is sending stronger and strong signals that it is not happy. Likewise, the North Koreans have been escalating--more missile tests, missile tests flying over Japan, an H-bomb test. What's next? Maybe sending a nuclear-armed missile into the Pacific? The US did that once a long time ago--not a great idea since much can go very wrong. If North Korea does that, what does the US do? If North Korea tries to or does shoot down a US plane over or near North Korea, what does the US do? There are not infinite rungs (I originally typed infinite wrongs--Freud at work) on the escalation ladder--we are running out of steps between where we are and war. And some of those rungs on the ladder are very war-ish and pretty slippery (can one slip up a ladder?).
So, combine those two--we are escalating and we may have more confidence than we should what will and will not trigger North Korea's first strike. Yeah, I am deeply worried. And then we get to considering that Trump's ego is involved. I see folks are hoping for the US military to disobey Trump's orders if he goes too far. So much for civilian control of the military. Again, we are left potentially hoping for folks to make decisions that might avert disaster but undermine American democracy.
I think I need to find something to stress eat or stress drink.