Wednesday, July 19, 2023

My Dream Defence Policy Update

 Since it is taking a lot longer for the Canadian Defence Policy Update to come out (I am using passive voice for a reason),* I figured I would present my ideal one.  This way, I can be properly disappointed when it does come out.  To be fair, I did pushback at media folks who were already doing the disappointment stories.  Who knows, maybe the DPU will provide what we need/want.  But to make that assessment, I thought providing an ideal baseline would useful.

Before I get started, first some caveats and other qualifiers.  I am not a defence economist, so I can't speak with any great certainty about dollar amounts.  I also can't assume that the government will have any clearly articulated grand strategy or foreign policy review.  My basic assumption going in is that as long as ships are not cancelled, none of this will move the needle in any direction domestically.  That is, the public wouldn't mind more spending on defence (the polls show they support it), but they won't give the incumbent party any votes for doing so either.  Yes, my dream defence policy update will require more spending, but what kind of dream would it be if I were too uptight about budgets?  A nightmare!

Ok, let's go:

  • Personnel
    • Specify the legislation that will be required to implement the key parts of the Arbour report (perhaps not every facet should be followed through--the Minister should have some judgment because Arbour is not perfect).
    • Specify the legislation that will be needed to make a significant dent in the personnel crisis including making service in the CAF a fast pathway to citizenship.
    • Allocate $$$ to address the crisis--better pay for all, retention bonuses for those who have excellent reviews, improving bases and providing better housing support, day care for kids, education/training/employment opportunities for trailing spouses.
    • Develop a plan to require fewer moves over a military career including leveraging work from home for some jobs.
    • Shift any jobs that don't require uniformed personnel over to DND (note: this is not sending these jobs to the private sector).  Anything that does not have physical requirement or a legal requirement to have a soldier/sailor/aviator should be civilianized including chief of personnel.
    • Shift more jobs (if not entire bases) to be closer to major urban centers.
  • Latvia/NATO
    • Clarify that the Latvia mission is enduring, beyond a three year cruise, and detail how it will be sustained.  
    • Clarify what the new money is going to and what additional funds will be required down the road. 
    • Agree to be a framework nation at the MND-N level so that command rotates between us, Latvia, Danes.
  • NORAD Modernization
    • Be specific about what will be spent on what over the next 5-10 years including whatever new money there is.
  • Indo-Pacific
    • ¯\(°_o)/¯
  • Domestic Emergency Operations
    • Make clear it is not the last of many priorities, but co-equal with the highest, allocating money to improve the central HQ's coordination/lesson learning effort.
    • Invest in domestic emergency-specific equipment--we don't need to have everything be useful for every possible mission.  
    • Provide for leaves and other benefits similar to what the troops get after a foreign deployment for an extensive domestic emergency deployment.
  • Procurement
    • Set up a new procurement agency so that there is one shop, rather than multiple ones, responsible, with a new minister focused solely on this.  Take it out of DND and out of Public Works.
    • More off the shelf type purchases like the P8, Javelins, Stingers, etc.
  • Improve Civilian Control of the Military
    • Include in culture change plans/conversations discussion of changing perceptions of civilian control of the CAF.
    • Provide better training for new DND civil servants (at the entry level and for those who get moved over from other departments) so that they have a better understanding of the CAF and of military stuff.  One of the sources of tension is the attitude among military folks that the civilian folks don't know military stuff.
    • Review and improve civ-mil components at all of the professional military education spots (including the systematic debunking of Huntington).
    • Reverse the pattern of senior leadership at key L1s--for example, have a civilian chief of defense intelligence with a military advisor.  Sorry, Mike.
    • Make specific commitments for improved transparency. 
  • Future reviews
    • Commit to four year cycle so that DND develops the muscles to be reviewing, assessing progress, being transparent about progress, consulting, etc.  This review has been much delayed for many reasons, creating frustration and problematic expectations.  Our allies do regular reviews for a reason.
  • Academic engagement (i.e. super specific, self-centered stuff)
    • Revise the length of MINDS Network Grants from 3 to 5 years and include a renewal process so that existing networks can use past performance to justify renewed funding.

Note: I am not dreaming of getting to two percent of GDP on defence.  However, I think this defence review should show how the military is spending more money for the things it needs to do, which will have the effect of getting Canada closer to 2%.  If we are a smidge below 2%, the griping at NATO will be less energetic.  But the focus needs to be on outputs and outcomes--that we can keep our promises to do various things (Indo-Pacific, Latvia, etc) at the level of quality we want--rather than inputs.

I will probably revise this as folks give me ideas of things I forgot.  But that is how reviews and updates are supposed to go--being resistant to moving the goal posts is problematic when winning on the battlefield requires adaptation.  

So, what did I miss?  What dreams should I include?




* A friend of mine and I were thinking of wagering on it, but she didn't like my over/under proposition, and I didn't like picking a specific week. 

2 comments:

down_doppler said...

Overall, I like it. The tone is most important - relieving unqualified military members from decision making to advisors on strategic and long term processes. Good.

A few nit picks: NORAD modernization has been going on since, well, NORAD was invented. Putting a cap (or not, think Star Wars) on the scope of NORAD, IMO, is the key concern for most, and the $ involved hard to choke back for the threat. Defining, redefining, "modernizing" (what does that mean?) NORAD will always be bumpy. I would argue spending some money on communicating with Canadians about NORAD may bear fruit and clarify voter's willingness to spend.

IMO the Indo Pacific is a GAC file. Lets pressure them to come up with something coherent. The CAF is waaaaaay too small to operate with any gravitas (other than a few newspaper articles for Canadians) in the region. Leave it to GAC, and away from DND and the CAF.

Domestic emergencies will always involve the CAF. Until the Federal government has enough leverage over Premiers to force them to spend on their responsibilities, the CAF will always be called. The CAF would be well served by a rapid increase in Reserve Forces at local armories with heavy equipment and basic skills in floods and fires. This is an ideal opportunity for Government to transform (yeah, I hate that word) the CAF into Federally controlled (to remove power from cynical Premiers, reward productive Premiers) part time regional forces, like the US National Guard, but not controlled by local politicians.

On procurement, the government - all governments and parties, MUST (at some point) admit the problem. It's the first stage in recovery, as we all know. Canadians know we have an inefficient system. Canadians know that politicians use the CAF as their piggy bank of discretionary funds. Candians know politicians are cynical about the CAF, and yet Canadians support increased spending and efficiency. You are correct that there will likely be no votes in a procurement shake up (dare I say, Transformation), but Canadians still know. And which government or party or whoever is going to step up?

I would argue a Crown Corporation, filled with experts, and controlled by a board of all political parties, with a requirement for full transparency to Canadians, not just the government of the day, may help us out of the cynical politics and money grubbing we are in now.

I'm not a fan of your 4 year review cycle. I think the timeframe is too short, and too political. I would argue for a 5 year update cycle and a 10 year mandatory full review. Out of the political cycle to force politicians to acknowledge these timeframes are not political - they are real, and defence updates are real, not political tools.

And of course I really like your shoutout to MINDS. I fully support academic engagement. I've seen it in action, and it works.

Overall, I like it.
Cheers, Chris

Anonymous said...

Really enjoyed your post!

I notice that you did not mention the reserves in your post - Should this not be a big part of recruitment and retention (more flexible work arrangements for people who want a military career, but don't want to commit to full-time or being moved across the country)? I would think this would also be important for improving the CAF's capacity and capabilities for domestic emergencies.

There is an important pay issue to be addressed for the reserves: when federal civil servants are reservists and go on leave to take military training or participate in exercises, many departments do not offer paid military leave or a top up of their lower military salary. Essentially, they must lose salary to serve. This is an issue for people with established civil service careers in higher salary brackets.

Finally, some reform of the compensation for reservists who are injured on Class A or Class B service needs to be fixed. Reserve units seem only to know the Reserve Force Compensation program and have little to no knowledge of the Government Employees' Compensation Act (GECA). RFC is fine for reservists who are students or unemployed in the civilian world, but for reservists with established civilian careers and who are older (40s and 50s), getting injured and missing civilian work time creates a serious financial burden (at least in the short term). They have to already be knowledgeable about GECA, (essentially, the reservist applying for workers' compensation from the province in which the injury occurred, but with the military (as employer) sending their documentation through EDSC to the provincial workers compensation corporation). This is long and time-consuming and puts a big administrative burden on injured reservists and their families in a stressful time.

Finally, there is the age-old problem of reserve units not having the same equipment as reg force units to train on and get experienced with. This affects retention, but also the quality of training for reservists.

One comment on moving military bases closer to cities - this can cause unintended issues for training. If bases or reserve armouries are located in residential neighourhoods or close to sensitive infrastructure, such as airports, this can limit training activities (ex. use of military radios on a property next to an airport or troops practicing patrolling at night while carrying firearms next to an airport or in a residential neighourhood).

An updated defence should address the role, resourcing, and support of the resources and an updating of the HR and financial processes used by the reserves.