After the last game of the fall ultimate frisbee season, we had beers at a local pub (see beer tangent below), and we ended up talking US politics. I knew before but the math really hit me (must have been the beer): Obama is going to going to get super-majorities of the votes of Hispanics and African-Americans AND he is way ahead among female voters. So, it seems that white males will have to vote overwhelmingly for Romney and turn out far more.
Then a twitter friend mentioned #voterfraudfraud. Yes, I know and have long known that the GOP is trying to offset the Democratic advantages of being a big tent with multiethnic/multiracial/multireligious/pan-gender/multi-sexuality constituencies via voter suppression. Still, voter suppression should not yet show up in the polls which make this race kind of even.
I would still bet that the GOP will be increasingly marginalized in future elections as the demographics continue to shift against them unless the party learns to reach out to non-white folks and non-male folks.
Or they can keep talking about rape in the most offensive ways possible.