Of course, this is a far more nuanced and specific take on the issue than my rambling, so don't listen to me. I am not an expert on any dimension of psychology especially the fields that I tend to cite but not read--cognitive and social. But then again, according to this piece, it is best not to listen to the most confident doctors but those who have doubts--they tend to be more reliable.
If that is the case, then perhaps you should listen to me about the things with which I feel the least confident. This would include:
- International political economy
- Women/girls and the pursuit thereof
- Advanced quantitative methods
- Discretion. That is being discreet. On the other hand, the forthcoming book focuses on why folks give their underlines more or less discretion, so I can fake confidence there.
- Defense on the ultimate field. I am very confident about throwing, but defending? Not so much.
- Jumping. I have never been confident in my vertical ability and wildly overconfident in my horizontal efforts (diving).
- Duration of civil war. I think I have a decent to good grasp on the causes of internal conflict but not so much on what causes them to endure or not.
- Running discussions in small classes. I am far more confident, however unjustly so, about my ability to lecture.
- Cakes. I am probably too confident about making pies and cookies, but not so much cakes. Good thing is that I do know someone who is a cupcake magician.
- Judicial politics. I don't study Congress (well, not until the next project) or Parliament, but I probably think too much of my ability to understand such stuff, but I am entirely unsure of how/why various Supreme Courts decide/operate.
- Dancing. I can neither dance nor judge it. Nor sing. Nor do anything in the creative arts with the possible exception of acting.
- Serious fiction. I don't read the stuff that wins Nobel Prizes in Literature.