See Ricks on his latest post, considering Afghani and Iraqi leaders running away from the US.
Maliki might get further away by embracing Iran. Karzai is more likely to face the Vietnam solution--losing power to a military coup. So, if I had to bet, I would bet on Maliki, because the other horse may well end up as glue.
and Ricks links to this piece about a reporter under fire. These guys simply don't get paid enough. I wonder who will cover the costs once the newspapers disappear.