Check out my first piece at Political Violence @ a Glance. It attempts to deploy a bunch of scholarship about intervention in a straightforward way. Let me know if it worked (besides the fact that I need to edit more).
One other dimension (to an otherwise-excellent piece); Turkey, which has the chance to play France to Syria's Libya, may not want intervention either, or may be conflicted about it. I suspect that the domestic politics within Syria on this are complicated, both by the Kurdish question and why the strategic calculation of whether Turkey wants to risk accelerating a war on its own border. The current regime in Turkey seems to be focused mostly on issues of internal dissent, and on the power of the military vis-a-vis the civilian government; perhaps the fear is that intervention in Syria re-strengthens the military, which Erdogan doesn't want.
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One other dimension (to an otherwise-excellent piece); Turkey, which has the chance to play France to Syria's Libya, may not want intervention either, or may be conflicted about it. I suspect that the domestic politics within Syria on this are complicated, both by the Kurdish question and why the strategic calculation of whether Turkey wants to risk accelerating a war on its own border. The current regime in Turkey seems to be focused mostly on issues of internal dissent, and on the power of the military vis-a-vis the civilian government; perhaps the fear is that intervention in Syria re-strengthens the military, which Erdogan doesn't want.
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